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The sceptical CFO

With Paulo Almeida, CFO. About 5 minutes, spoken.

The brief

You run supply chain and planning at Northgate Components, an automotive components maker with five plants and about $110 million of revenue. You are asking Paulo Almeida, the CFO, for $250,000 for a demand-planning platform.

Your business case asks for $250,000 in year one and shows payback in about fifteen months. You wrote it, and the 14% carrying-cost rate in it is the one you chose. Today you pay about $70,000 a year for a workaround: expedite freight and contract planners. The vendor wants a decision this quarter. It has also quoted $70,000 for a first-year, two-plant start at Eastfield, which holds $2.2 million of the $5.8 million of inventory across the five plants.

Paulo has turned down two similar asks this year. The 2023 warehouse system ran over budget; you do not know the details. He answers to Folake Bello, the MD, and to the board.

Yours to decide

  • The content of your case and any re-cut of it
  • How the ask is staged: which plants first, in what order
  • The gate metric, date and stop number you propose
  • Your planning team's time, including cleaning master data
  • The inventory number you put your name to

Not yours to decide

  • Whether money is released (Paulo decides)
  • Anything above Paulo's own release limit (the board decides)
  • The carrying-cost rate finance uses
  • The vendor's price for any scope other than the quotes you hold
Exhibit 1. Demand-planning platform, business case
Line$k
Implementation (vendor and integrator)150
Licence, year one40
Internal backfill for the planning team during rollout60
Investment, year one250
Licence from year two, each year40
Workaround avoided: expedite freight45
Workaround avoided: contract planners25
Inventory carrying cost saved: $1.0m less inventory at 14%140
Annual benefit210
Paybackabout 15 months

Vendor option, not in the case: two-plant start at Eastfield, first year, $70k.

Exhibit 2. The inventory picture
TodayAfter the platform (case)
Inventory across five plants$5.8m$4.8m
Forecast accuracy (SKU, monthly)61%75%
SKUs6,2006,200
SKUs whose lead time was last reviewed before 202231%not in the case
Inventory at the two Eastfield plants$2.2m—

About 5 minutes. Talk as you would in the room. You can pause to think; say “let me think” and the counterpart will wait.

Voice beta
PA

Paulo Almeida

CFO

05:00

Read the brief, then allow your microphone.

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